Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE is holding his lead in the crowded Democratic presidential primary roughly two months out from the first nominating contests, according to a new national survey from Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll released exclusively to The Hill.
Twenty-nine percent of respondents said they would most likely vote for Biden in a Democratic primary, while 16 percent said they would back Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.).
Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.) rounded out the top three slots at 13 percent support.
“The data shows Joe Biden has a strong base of loyal Democrats that basically has neither grown nor shrunk in the last 6 months despite everyone’s efforts,” said Mark PennMark PennThe Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden leads Trump by 6 points in new poll Biden leads Trump by 6 points as voters sour on pandemic response: poll Poll: Two-thirds of voters say the economy is on the wrong track MORE, the co-director of the Harvard CAPS/Harris poll. “He remains the front-runner after Elizabeth Warren faltered with her ‘Medicare for All’ plan.”
Meanwhile, South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE garnered 8 percent support, while former New York City Mayor Michael BloombergMichael BloombergEngel scrambles to fend off primary challenge from left It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process Liberals embrace super PACs they once shunned MORE came in at 7 percent support.
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Bloomberg gained traction quickly after formally entering the race last month, focusing his time and resources on Super Tuesday states.
A Morning Consult survey released on Tuesday also showed Biden leading the pack at 29 percent support nationally, again followed by Sanders, Warren and Buttigieg, in that order.
The Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll survey was conducted online within the U.S. among a representative sample of 1,859 registered voters between Nov. 27-29 by the Harris Poll. Results were weighted for age within gender, region, race/ethnicity, marital status, household size, income, employment, education, political party, and political ideology where necessary to align them with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.
The sampling margin of error of this poll is plus or minus 2 percentage points.